Kray vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DUS
1 - 0
KRA
59%
21%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
KRA
1 - 4
KFC
20%
22%
58%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 1
KRA
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
KRA
5 - 0
CRO
51%
20%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
KAP
5 - 0
KRA
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VFB
1 - 0
HNI
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 3
VFB
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
DUS
0 - 2
VFB
62%
21%
18%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VFB
0 - 3
KFC
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 1
VFB
53%
23%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |