Kray vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
62%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
3 - 1
KRA
79%
15%
7%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
KRA
0 - 3
SPO
18%
23%
60%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
7 - 2
KRA
79%
14%
6%
|
25 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
KRA
0 - 1
WUP
13%
19%
68%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 0
KRA
82%
12%
7%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 0
BAY
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
HUL
2 - 0
VEL
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 1
BER
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
VEL
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 1
WUP
16%
21%
64%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +1 |