Kray vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VER
5 - 1
KRA
78%
14%
7%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
KRA
1 - 2
VEL
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
3 - 1
KRA
79%
15%
7%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
KRA
0 - 3
SPO
18%
23%
60%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
7 - 2
KRA
79%
14%
6%
|
25 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 1
BAY
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HUL
3 - 2
DIE
17%
21%
62%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
DIE
3 - 1
BER
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 3
DIE
20%
22%
57%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 2
KÖL
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |