Kray vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 1
KRA
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
KRA
0 - 2
VEL
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WEG
4 - 2
KRA
39%
23%
39%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
KRA
1 - 3
WAT
21%
23%
57%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ERN
4 - 0
KRA
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -3 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
ROT
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
S04
0 - 1
FOR
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 1
AAA
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
RWA
3 - 2
FOR
26%
25%
50%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 3
SPO
23%
26%
52%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |