Ekstraklasa Normal Season Round 19

Legia Warszawa vs Piast Gliwice analysis

Legia Warszawa Piast Gliwice
82 ELO 76
2.6% Tilt -3.5%
801º General ELO ranking 822º
16º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
58.2%
Legia Warszawa
22.6%
Draw
19.2%
Piast Gliwice

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
Legia Warszawa
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.2%
Win probability
Piast Gliwice
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Legia Warszawa
+25%
-4%
Piast Gliwice

ELO progression

Legia Warszawa
Piast Gliwice
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2018
GDA
Lechia Gdansk
0 - 0
Legia Warszawa
WAR
39%
25%
36%
82 77 5 0
05 Dec. 2018
CHR
Chrobry Głogów
0 - 3
Legia Warszawa
WAR
11%
18%
72%
82 55 27 0
01 Dec. 2018
WAR
Legia Warszawa
3 - 0
Korona Kielce
KOR
64%
21%
15%
81 73 8 +1
25 Nov. 2018
ZAL
Zaglebie Lubin
0 - 1
Legia Warszawa
WAR
27%
26%
47%
81 71 10 0
09 Nov. 2018
POG
Pogon Szczecin
2 - 1
Legia Warszawa
WAR
32%
26%
43%
82 74 8 -1

Matches

Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2018
ZAL
Zaglebie Lubin
2 - 2
Piast Gliwice
PGL
32%
27%
41%
77 71 6 0
03 Dec. 2018
PGL
Piast Gliwice
3 - 0
Pogon Szczecin
POG
48%
26%
26%
76 75 1 +1
23 Nov. 2018
PGL
Piast Gliwice
0 - 0
Zagłębie Sosnowiec
ZAG
65%
22%
14%
76 63 13 0
11 Nov. 2018
KOR
Korona Kielce
1 - 0
Piast Gliwice
PGL
40%
26%
34%
76 73 3 0
02 Nov. 2018
PGL
Piast Gliwice
2 - 0
Wisla Kraków
WIS
35%
26%
39%
74 78 4 +2