Kottern vs SV Erlbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
3º
17º
5º
42
7º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
KIR
1 - 0
KOT
57%
23%
21%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KOT
1 - 3
VRG
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DEI
4 - 0
KOT
52%
22%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KOT
1 - 0
DAC
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 0
KOT
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ERL
1 - 1
FCG
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
MEM
1 - 0
ERL
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ERL
4 - 1
VFB
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
ING
3 - 0
ERL
74%
16%
11%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ERL
5 - 0
ISM
34%
25%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |