Bundesliga U19 Group G Round 3

Köln U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis

Köln U19 Mainz 05 U19
31 ELO 35
-4.4% Tilt 1.4%
9854º General ELO ranking 8150º
477º Country ELO ranking 406º
ELO win probability
35.3%
Köln U19
22.8%
Draw
42%
Mainz 05 U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
Köln U19
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
42%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Köln U19
+59%
+2%
Mainz 05 U19

ELO progression

Köln U19
Mainz 05 U19
SV 07 Elversberg U19
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
MSV Duisburg U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Köln U19
Köln U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2025
LEV
B. Leverkusen U19
4 - 5
Köln U19
KOL
76%
14%
10%
30 43 13 0
11 May. 2025
WBR
Werder Bremen U19
2 - 2
Köln U19
KOL
66%
18%
16%
29 35 6 +1
04 May. 2025
KOL
Köln U19
3 - 2
 Hamburger SV U19
HAM
27%
22%
51%
27 34 7 +2
26 Apr. 2025
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
3 - 4
Köln U19
KOL
86%
10%
5%
26 46 20 +1
12 Apr. 2025
SCH
Schalke 04 U19
3 - 0
Köln U19
KOL
61%
20%
19%
26 34 8 0

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2025
LEV
B. Leverkusen U19
2 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
60%
20%
20%
35 40 5 0
12 Apr. 2025
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 5
RB Leipzig U19
LEI
56%
21%
24%
36 35 1 -1
06 Apr. 2025
BOR
B. Dortmund U19
5 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
55%
21%
25%
37 40 3 -1
03 Apr. 2025
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 0
Unterhaching U19
UNT
81%
12%
7%
37 22 15 0
29 Mar. 2025
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 0
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
39%
22%
39%
35 40 5 +2