Köln U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
2.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+96%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
10º
8º
28
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
KOL
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 1
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 2
KOL
7%
12%
81%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 1
SCH
45%
23%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
WUP
0 - 3
KOL
7%
14%
79%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 2
BOR
4%
10%
87%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 0
BOC
7%
15%
78%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 1
ARM
87%
10%
3%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 4
MON
6%
13%
81%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 1
ARM
90%
8%
2%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | 0 |