Köln U19 vs Alemannia Aachen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
6º
3º
10
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 24 |
4º
|
96.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
69% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WEH
0 - 1
KOL
23%
20%
58%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
4 - 0
HEN
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
2 - 1
KOL
44%
23%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 2
LEV
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
KOL
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 1
KAI
38%
21%
42%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 1
WEH
53%
20%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 2
ALA
18%
18%
64%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 4
MON
20%
18%
62%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
5 - 2
ALA
68%
17%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |