Köln II vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
DIE
1 - 0
WEG
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
WAT
1 - 0
DIE
58%
22%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
DIE
2 - 1
ERN
55%
23%
21%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
DIE
1 - 1
ROD
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
DIE
1 - 1
BOR
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
WIE
4 - 2
VEL
38%
23%
39%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
KRA
0 - 2
VEL
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 4
ROT
25%
25%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
S04
1 - 1
VEL
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 0
AAA
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |