Köln II vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
BFR
2 - 0
DIE
49%
24%
26%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
DIE
5 - 0
STR
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
VIK
1 - 3
DIE
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
FOR
2 - 2
DIE
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
DIE
2 - 2
SWE
34%
27%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
VEL
1 - 0
FCR
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
BAY
4 - 1
VEL
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
VEL
1 - 2
EUR
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
VEL
3 - 1
BOR
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
RHE
3 - 1
VEL
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |