Köln II vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
OSN
0 - 1
DIE
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
DIE
0 - 2
WAT
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
BAY
1 - 2
DIE
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
DIE
4 - 1
PRE
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
ERZ
1 - 1
DIE
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ROT
0 - 4
WAT
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
PRE
0 - 3
ROT
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
SGD
1 - 1
ROT
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
ROT
0 - 0
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
ROT
3 - 1
BAB
69%
19%
13%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |