Köln II vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2002 |
DIE
5 - 3
SWE
70%
19%
10%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
BOR
0 - 1
DIE
25%
25%
51%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
DIE
1 - 0
AAA
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
WUP
0 - 3
DIE
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
DIE
3 - 0
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2002 |
F95
3 - 0
ERZ
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
ERZ
2 - 1
EBT
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
HOL
1 - 1
ERZ
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
ERZ
3 - 0
PRE
47%
25%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
WER
0 - 0
ERZ
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |