Köln II vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
WIE
3 - 1
DIE
34%
24%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
DIE
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
VIK
0 - 3
DIE
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
DIE
0 - 2
SPO
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -3 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DIE
2 - 1
BAY
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
AAA
2 - 2
LIP
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
VER
0 - 2
AAA
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
AAA
1 - 3
KÖL
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
AAA
1 - 2
S04
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
WAT
0 - 3
AAA
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |