Austria Fourth Division Styria Round 3

Köflach vs TUS Heiligenkreuz analysis

Köflach TUS Heiligenkreuz
29 ELO 31
-6.5% Tilt -10.3%
7586º General ELO ranking 9045º
140º Country ELO ranking 191º
ELO win probability
34.6%
Köflach
21.8%
Draw
43.6%
TUS Heiligenkreuz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
Köflach
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
43.6%
Win probability
TUS Heiligenkreuz
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Köflach
-11%
-53%
TUS Heiligenkreuz

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Wildon
56
56
100%
SV Tillmitsch
55
55
100%
Kalsdorf
51
51
59.5%
Hartberg II
48
49
59.5%
Lafnitz II
48
48
100%
45
45
0%
Fehring
44
45
0%
Ilzer SV
45
45
0%
Union Gamlitz
44
44
100%
TUS Heiligenkreuz
10º
43
43
10º
100%
FC Schladming
11º
43
43
11º
100%
SC Fürstenfeld
12º
42
42
12º
100%
Lebring
13º
39
39
13º
100%
SC Bruck/Mur
14º
30
30
14º
100%
Frauental
15º
26
26
15º
100%
SV Union Gnas
16º
18
18
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Köflach
TUS Heiligenkreuz
0% 100%

ELO progression

Köflach
TUS Heiligenkreuz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Köflach
Köflach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2023
GNA
SV Union Gnas
1 - 2
Köflach
KOF
62%
18%
19%
27 30 3 0
08 Aug. 2023
KOF
Köflach
4 - 0
Wildon
SVW
41%
22%
37%
26 27 1 +1
07 Jul. 2023
KOF
Köflach
1 - 2
Allerheiligen
ALL
21%
20%
59%
26 37 11 0
04 Jul. 2023
KOF
Köflach
7 - 2
Völkermarkt
VOL
30%
22%
48%
25 28 3 +1
09 Jun. 2023
JUD
Judenburg
1 - 0
Köflach
KOF
33%
22%
44%
26 21 5 -1

Matches

TUS Heiligenkreuz
TUS Heiligenkreuz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2023
HGK
TUS Heiligenkreuz
6 - 2
Lebring
LEB
48%
22%
31%
30 30 0 0
04 Aug. 2023
SVT
SV Tillmitsch
3 - 1
TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
8%
13%
79%
33 14 19 -3
19 Jul. 2023
HGK
TUS Heiligenkreuz
6 - 1
Sturm Graz
STR
5%
12%
83%
31 81 50 +2
14 Jul. 2023
DLB
Deutschlandsberger
1 - 0
TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
81%
13%
7%
31 49 18 0
07 Jun. 2023
FEH
Fehring
4 - 1
TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
48%
21%
31%
33 33 0 -2