Koeppchen vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
2º
7º
2º
11
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Koeppchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
RSM
1 - 2
KOE
38%
21%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KOE
1 - 3
TBB
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 0
KOE
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KOE
2 - 3
SYR
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 2
KOE
39%
21%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UME
3 - 1
SPO
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 3
UME
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UME
1 - 3
CBG
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
UKT
4 - 2
UME
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
UME
0 - 0
URE
19%
19%
62%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |