Belgian First Amateur Division Round 18

Knokke vs Gent II analysis

Knokke Gent II
53 ELO 56
9.9% Tilt 3.8%
1869º General ELO ranking 1927º
37º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
43.7%
Knokke
24.2%
Draw
32.1%
Gent II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
Knokke
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.1%
Win probability
Gent II
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Knokke
+30%
+33%
Gent II

Points and table prediction

Knokke
Their league position
Gent II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
10º
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
RAAL La Louviere
83
83
100%
Sporting Lokeren
70
70
100%
Knokke
54
54
100%
Charleroi II
53
53
100%
Heist
51
51
100%
Thes Sport
51
51
100%
Olympic Charleroi
50
50
100%
Gent II
49
49
100%
Hoogstraten
49
49
100%
KVC Winkel Sport
11º
46
46
10º
100%
Excelsior Virton
10º
46
46
11º
100%
Tienen
13º
44
44
12º
100%
Dessel Sport
12º
44
44
13º
100%
Antwerp II
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Union Namur
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Leuven II
16º
30
30
16º
100%
Visé
17º
28
29
17º
100%
Cappellen
18º
27
27
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Knokke
Gent II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Knokke
Gent II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Knokke
Knokke
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2023
TIE
Tienen
1 - 2
Knokke
KNO
24%
24%
52%
52 45 7 0
10 Dec. 2023
KNO
Knokke
5 - 0
Antwerp II
RAF
61%
20%
19%
51 47 4 +1
06 Dec. 2023
KNO
Knokke
1 - 1
OH Leuven
LEU
7%
12%
82%
51 75 24 0
02 Dec. 2023
KNO
Knokke
2 - 0
Dessel Sport
DES
69%
18%
13%
50 44 6 +1
25 Nov. 2023
KVT
Thes Sport
4 - 2
Knokke
KNO
31%
24%
45%
51 45 6 -1

Matches

Gent II
Gent II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2023
DES
Dessel Sport
1 - 4
Gent II
KAA
30%
25%
45%
56 45 11 0
10 Dec. 2023
KAA
Gent II
2 - 3
Hoogstraten
HOO
51%
24%
25%
56 52 4 0
06 Dec. 2023
HEI
Heist
0 - 4
Gent II
KAA
37%
25%
38%
56 49 7 0
02 Dec. 2023
OLY
Olympic Charleroi
3 - 3
Gent II
KAA
35%
26%
39%
56 49 7 0
25 Nov. 2023
KAA
Gent II
1 - 1
RAAL La Louviere
LOU
30%
26%
44%
55 63 8 +1