NI Third Division Round 20

Knockbreda vs Portstewart analysis

Knockbreda Portstewart
43 ELO 40
15.5% Tilt 23.7%
6090º General ELO ranking 7062º
34º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
61.8%
Knockbreda
20%
Draw
18.1%
Portstewart

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
Knockbreda
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.1%
Win probability
Portstewart
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Knockbreda
-14%
+62%
Portstewart

ELO progression

Knockbreda
Portstewart
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Knockbreda
Knockbreda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2025
OSF
Oxford Sunnyside
3 - 3
Knockbreda
KNO
20%
18%
63%
44 33 11 0
08 Mar. 2025
KNO
Knockbreda
1 - 4
Dollingstown
DOL
23%
23%
54%
45 56 11 -1
01 Mar. 2025
KNO
Knockbreda
2 - 4
Queens University Belfast
QUB
36%
24%
40%
46 51 5 -1
15 Feb. 2025
KNO
Knockbreda
3 - 0
Coagh United
COA
51%
22%
27%
44 43 1 +2
08 Feb. 2025
COA
Coagh United
4 - 2
Knockbreda
KNO
30%
23%
47%
45 40 5 -1

Matches

Portstewart
Portstewart
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2025
POR
Portstewart
1 - 0
Queens University Belfast
QUB
14%
21%
65%
36 51 15 0
01 Mar. 2025
POR
Portstewart
1 - 1
Banbridge Town
BAN
26%
22%
52%
36 43 7 0
22 Feb. 2025
BRF
Ballymacash Rangers
1 - 3
Portstewart
POR
73%
16%
11%
33 56 23 +3
08 Feb. 2025
DOL
Dollingstown
0 - 1
Portstewart
POR
85%
11%
5%
31 54 23 +2
01 Feb. 2025
POR
Portstewart
2 - 1
Coagh United
COA
18%
19%
63%
29 41 12 +2