Championship 1 round 21

Knockbreda vs Lisburn Distillery analysis

Knockbreda Lisburn Distillery
46 ELO 47
17.6% Tilt 3.9%
5974º General ELO ranking 6119º
34º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
57.3%
Knockbreda
20.6%
Draw
22.1%
Lisburn Distillery

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
Knockbreda
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.1%
Win probability
Lisburn Distillery
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Knockbreda
-8%
-18%
Lisburn Distillery

ELO progression

Knockbreda
Lisburn Distillery
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Knockbreda
Knockbreda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2015
BAN
Bangor
4 - 2
Knockbreda
KNO
74%
16%
10%
48 58 10 0
03 Mar. 2015
CAR
Carrick Rangers
2 - 1
Knockbreda
KNO
68%
19%
13%
49 56 7 -1
28 Feb. 2015
DON
Donegal Celtic
2 - 0
Knockbreda
KNO
36%
24%
40%
51 44 7 -2
21 Feb. 2015
KNO
Knockbreda
2 - 2
Larne
LAR
49%
24%
27%
51 52 1 0
31 Jan. 2015
KNO
Knockbreda
0 - 5
Carrick Rangers
CAR
44%
24%
32%
53 55 2 -2

Matches

Lisburn Distillery
Lisburn Distillery
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2015
CAR
Carrick Rangers
3 - 2
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
71%
17%
12%
46 56 10 0
28 Feb. 2015
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
3 - 0
Dundela
DUN
50%
22%
28%
44 41 3 +2
21 Feb. 2015
ARD
Ards FC
4 - 0
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
69%
18%
13%
45 54 9 -1
31 Jan. 2015
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
2 - 6
Ballyclare Comrades
BAL
47%
23%
30%
47 46 1 -2
17 Jan. 2015
ARC
Armagh City
3 - 1
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
53%
22%
26%
48 50 2 -1