Knockbreda vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
64.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
KNO
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
BAN
4 - 1
KNO
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
HAR
4 - 1
KNO
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
KNO
2 - 0
DER
23%
22%
56%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 0
KNO
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
INS
3 - 2
ARD
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NEY
2 - 1
INS
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
INS
1 - 3
AUN
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
DER
2 - 2
INS
21%
23%
57%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
INS
1 - 0
BAL
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |