Knockbreda vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
48.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
LCE
1 - 1
KNO
27%
24%
50%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
KNO
1 - 2
HAR
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
DER
2 - 2
KNO
35%
25%
41%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LAR
3 - 1
KNO
30%
24%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
KNO
1 - 2
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
INS
2 - 0
LIM
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
INS
2 - 0
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
LOU
3 - 1
INS
28%
24%
49%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
INS
3 - 0
LOU
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |