Kitzbühel vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
6º
3º
23
1º
6º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
28 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 13 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 13 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 12 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 12 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KIT
3 - 1
WOR
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 1
KIT
17%
19%
63%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
KIT
1 - 4
WAT
51%
23%
27%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
KUF
4 - 0
KIT
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MOT
4 - 3
KIT
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KIT
3 - 1
WOR
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 0
WOR
10%
15%
74%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
IMS
1 - 2
WOR
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 1
SCH
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +3 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TEL
10 - 0
WOR
52%
20%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |