Kitzbühel vs SC Retz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
KIT
5 - 0
SKH
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
REU
1 - 2
KIT
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
KIT
4 - 2
VOL
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 0
KIT
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
KIT
8 - 0
MOT
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SC Retz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
NEU
1 - 2
SCR
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
SCR
0 - 1
ADM
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SCR
2 - 2
AMS
21%
23%
56%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
SCH
2 - 1
SCR
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SCR
1 - 1
RAP
23%
22%
55%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |