Kitchee Reserve vs Sun Pegasus Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
59.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitchee Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2015 |
KIT
1 - 2
PEG
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
WTS
7 - 2
KIT
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
YHK
0 - 7
KIT
36%
23%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
RRE
5 - 3
KIT
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
KIT
8 - 0
SCH
18%
18%
63%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +7 |
Matches
Sun Pegasus Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2015 |
KIT
1 - 2
PEG
22%
21%
57%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
YHK
0 - 1
PEG
13%
18%
69%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
PEG
2 - 0
YLO
86%
9%
5%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
PEG
4 - 3
ESA
84%
11%
6%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
PEG
6 - 0
SCH
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |