Kitchee FC vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
5º
4º
11
6º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
6º
|
89.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
87.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
97% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
KFC
6 - 1
KWL
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KFC
8 - 0
BIU
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KFC
1 - 1
SDI
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NDT
2 - 2
KFC
10%
18%
72%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KFC
1 - 6
ATM
8%
15%
77%
|
70 | 93 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HON
0 - 2
KWL
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
WAR
3 - 1
HON
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HON
1 - 3
BIU
29%
23%
48%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HON
0 - 0
SHA
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
EAS
5 - 0
HON
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |