Kirchbichl vs SPG Sprutz / Serfaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
54.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
16º
15º
41
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
IAC
4 - 2
KIR
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KIR
1 - 2
SCM
66%
18%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
EBB
1 - 1
KIR
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
KIR
2 - 3
SCM
32%
21%
47%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
SVI
1 - 3
KIR
56%
20%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SPG Sprutz / Serfaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SPG
1 - 0
KEM
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
STJ
2 - 3
SPG
42%
22%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPG
0 - 2
VOL
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 0
SPG
75%
17%
7%
|
20 | 60 | 40 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
SPG
3 - 0
UNI
36%
21%
43%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |