Kirchbichl vs Puch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
56.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
SCH
2 - 2
KIR
22%
25%
53%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
KIR
1 - 1
KUN
24%
25%
51%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
HOH
2 - 1
KIR
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
KIR
0 - 0
NEN
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
TII
1 - 1
KIR
26%
25%
48%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
PUC
2 - 1
REI
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
PUC
1 - 4
KUF
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
SCH
0 - 1
PUC
15%
24%
62%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
PUC
1 - 3
KUN
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
HOH
1 - 2
PUC
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |