Kirchbichl vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
KIR
3 - 1
KUF
21%
24%
55%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
REI
2 - 2
KIR
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
KIR
0 - 2
PUC
18%
25%
57%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
SCH
2 - 2
KIR
22%
25%
53%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
KIR
1 - 1
KUN
24%
25%
51%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
HAR
7 - 1
REI
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
PUC
0 - 3
HAR
68%
18%
13%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
HAR
5 - 0
SCH
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
KUN
1 - 4
HAR
47%
25%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
FEL
1 - 0
HAR
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |