Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
GRE
4 - 2
KIL
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
KIL
3 - 1
ABE
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
KIL
0 - 2
GLA
34%
26%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
MHE
1 - 0
KIL
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
KIL
1 - 5
CEL
32%
24%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
DUN
1 - 1
STM
59%
25%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
STM
0 - 1
CEL
20%
23%
57%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
FAL
4 - 0
STM
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 1
STM
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
STM
1 - 1
ICT
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |