Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
KIL
2 - 1
STJ
33%
28%
38%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 2
KIL
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MHE
1 - 0
KIL
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
KIL
4 - 1
BER
68%
18%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
KIL
0 - 4
ROS
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HOM
1 - 3
ABE
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ICT
2 - 0
HOM
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HAM
3 - 2
HOM
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 2
HOM
24%
23%
53%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HOM
3 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |