Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
KIL
1 - 1
HIB
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 2
KIL
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
KIL
1 - 3
CEL
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
KIL
2 - 1
QOS
68%
19%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
KIL
1 - 2
STJ
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
HOM
2 - 1
DUN
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
STJ
2 - 2
HOM
41%
29%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HOM
2 - 0
ABE
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
HIB
1 - 0
HOM
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
HOM
0 - 4
CEL
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |