SPL Normal Season Round 17

Kilmarnock vs Celtic analysis

Kilmarnock Celtic
73 ELO 81
0.2% Tilt -18.1%
525º General ELO ranking 450º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
23%
Kilmarnock
22.7%
Draw
54.3%
Celtic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.3%
Win probability
Celtic
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Kilmarnock
Their league position
Celtic
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
11º
78
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Celtic
78
78
100%
Rangers
75
75
100%
Heart of Midlothian
62
62
100%
Kilmarnock
51
51
100%
St. Mirren
43
43
100%
Dundee
41
41
100%
Hibernian FC
39
39
100%
Motherwell
37
37
100%
Aberdeen
35
35
100%
St. Johnstone
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Ross County FC
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Livingston
12º
18
18
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kilmarnock
Celtic
Play-offs for the title
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kilmarnock
Celtic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2023
ABE
Aberdeen
0 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
56%
25%
19%
72 75 3 0
02 Dec. 2023
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
37%
27%
36%
72 76 4 0
25 Nov. 2023
ROS
Ross County FC
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
43%
27%
30%
71 66 5 +1
11 Nov. 2023
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
62%
23%
16%
72 76 4 -1
04 Nov. 2023
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
46%
26%
27%
70 71 1 +2

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2023
CEL
Celtic
4 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
61%
20%
19%
81 78 3 0
03 Dec. 2023
STJ
St. Johnstone
1 - 3
Celtic
CEL
11%
19%
70%
81 66 15 0
28 Nov. 2023
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Celtic
CEL
79%
14%
7%
81 92 11 0
25 Nov. 2023
CEL
Celtic
1 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
75%
16%
9%
81 71 10 0
12 Nov. 2023
CEL
Celtic
6 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
67%
18%
14%
81 76 5 0