Kilmarnock vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability

1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.4%
Win probability

0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

+2%
-12%

ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 Oct. 1976 |
KIL
![]() 1 - 1
![]() HIB
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
23 Oct. 1976 |
PAR
![]() 2 - 1
![]() KIL
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
02 Oct. 1976 |
HOM
![]() 2 - 2
![]() KIL
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
25 Sep. 1976 |
KIL
![]() 0 - 4
![]() CEL
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
18 Sep. 1976 |
ABE
![]() 2 - 0
![]() KIL
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Oct. 1976 |
AYR
![]() 2 - 3
![]() HIB
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
16 Oct. 1976 |
AYR
![]() 0 - 2
![]() CEL
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
09 Oct. 1976 |
HOM
![]() 2 - 2
![]() AYR
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
02 Oct. 1976 |
AYR
![]() 1 - 1
![]() GLA
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
25 Sep. 1976 |
MHE
![]() 4 - 1
![]() AYR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |