SPL Round 2

Kilmarnock vs Ayr United analysis

Kilmarnock Ayr United
73 ELO 69
7.6% Tilt 10.8%
525º General ELO ranking 851º
10º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
58.8%
Kilmarnock
22.8%
Draw
18.4%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.4%
Win probability
Ayr United
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kilmarnock
+2%
-12%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Kilmarnock
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 1976
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
43%
26%
31%
71 80 9 0
23 Oct. 1976
PAR
Partick Thistle
2 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
59%
23%
19%
72 76 4 -1
02 Oct. 1976
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
55%
25%
21%
72 77 5 0
25 Sep. 1976
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 4
Celtic
CEL
36%
26%
38%
73 83 10 -1
18 Sep. 1976
ABE
Aberdeen
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
57%
23%
20%
74 77 3 -1

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 1976
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 3
Hibernian FC
HIB
41%
27%
32%
70 80 10 0
16 Oct. 1976
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 2
Celtic
CEL
32%
26%
42%
70 83 13 0
09 Oct. 1976
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 2
Ayr United
AYR
57%
25%
19%
70 77 7 0
02 Oct. 1976
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 1
Rangers
GLA
39%
27%
34%
70 81 11 0
25 Sep. 1976
MHE
Motherwell
4 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
57%
24%
19%
71 73 2 -1