Kilia Kiel vs St. Pauli II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
BOR
0 - 4
KIL
18%
21%
62%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
EIM
4 - 0
KIL
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
KIL
3 - 2
OSC
50%
21%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HEI
0 - 4
KIL
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
KIL
3 - 0
HUS
82%
11%
7%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
HOL
3 - 5
STP
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
STP
2 - 1
BOR
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HAN
1 - 0
STP
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
STP
2 - 1
BRE
34%
23%
42%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BSV
0 - 3
STP
16%
18%
66%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |