Kidlington vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidlington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KID
3 - 1
FLE
31%
21%
48%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ASH
5 - 1
KID
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 2
KID
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
KID
0 - 5
BEA
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AFD
2 - 2
KID
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BRI
1 - 1
TOW
13%
18%
69%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
TOW
3 - 1
STA
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
TOW
33%
25%
41%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
TOW
3 - 1
UNM
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TOW
2 - 2
CUR
66%
20%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |