FA Cup 1/512
Global 4-1
Kidderminster Harriers vs Ware analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WAR
1 - 1
KID
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FYL
2 - 1
KID
70%
19%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 3
KID
26%
21%
53%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
KID
2 - 3
GAT
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 0
KID
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WAR
1 - 1
KID
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
WAR
1 - 2
HAR
82%
11%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
HEM
0 - 1
WAR
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 2
HEM
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
BED
2 - 3
WAR
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |