Conference North Round 42

Kidderminster Harriers vs Guiseley analysis

Kidderminster Harriers Guiseley
45 ELO 38
9.2% Tilt -5.3%
3904º General ELO ranking 4851º
103º Country ELO ranking 145º
ELO win probability
72.4%
Kidderminster Harriers
16.9%
Draw
10.7%
Guiseley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
Kidderminster Harriers
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.7%
Win probability
Guiseley
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kidderminster Harriers
+19%
-34%
Guiseley

ELO progression

Kidderminster Harriers
Guiseley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kidderminster Harriers
Kidderminster Harriers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2019
SOU
Southport
2 - 2
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
53%
24%
24%
45 47 2 0
19 Apr. 2019
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
1 - 2
Leamington
LEA
65%
20%
15%
46 42 4 -1
13 Apr. 2019
UNM
United of Manchester
0 - 1
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
18%
23%
59%
46 31 15 0
06 Apr. 2019
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
3 - 0
Bradford Park Avenue
BRA
38%
24%
37%
44 47 3 +2
30 Mar. 2019
ALT
Altrincham
2 - 1
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
57%
22%
21%
44 47 3 0

Matches

Guiseley
Guiseley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2019
GUI
Guiseley
1 - 0
Darlington FC
DAR
31%
22%
47%
36 42 6 0
19 Apr. 2019
BLY
Blyth Spartans
2 - 0
Guiseley
GUI
79%
14%
7%
37 48 11 -1
13 Apr. 2019
GUI
Guiseley
1 - 1
Ashton United
ASH
51%
22%
27%
37 35 2 0
06 Apr. 2019
BRA
Brackley Town
2 - 0
Guiseley
GUI
81%
13%
5%
37 54 17 0
02 Apr. 2019
SPE
Spennymoor Town
3 - 2
Guiseley
GUI
74%
16%
9%
37 48 11 0