Iran Second Division Round 15

Khalij Fars FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin analysis

Khalij Fars FC Shams Azar Qazvin
50 ELO 59
-11.7% Tilt -7.7%
48511º General ELO ranking 1698º
164º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
27.4%
Khalij Fars FC
26.7%
Draw
45.9%
Shams Azar Qazvin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
Khalij Fars FC
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.9%
Win probability
Shams Azar Qazvin
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Khalij Fars FC
Their league position
Shams Azar Qazvin
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
17º
15º
70
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Shams Azar Qazvin
70
70
100%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
57
60
99.5%
Saipa
55
58
79%
53
56
73%
Kheybar
52
55
91.5%
Mes Shahr Babak
45
48
79.5%
Van Pars Naghshe Jahan
45
48
79.5%
Chadormalu
45
45
100%
Pars Jonubi
40
43
98.5%
Darya Caspian
10º
38
41
10º
82.5%
Esteqlal Abi Push
11º
37
40
11º
83.5%
Khooshe Talaee
12º
35
38
12º
95%
Bandar Astara
13º
33
36
13º
13.5%
Arman Gohar
14º
33
36
14º
10%
Khalij Fars FC
15º
29
32
15º
88%
Shahrdari Hamedan
16º
28
31
16º
88%
Chooka Talesh
17º
22
25
17º
100%
Padideh Khorasan
18º
0
2
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Khalij Fars FC
Shams Azar Qazvin
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
88% 0%
Relegation
12% 0%

ELO progression

Khalij Fars FC
Shams Azar Qazvin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Khalij Fars FC
Khalij Fars FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2022
MSB
Mes Shahr Babak
1 - 0
Khalij Fars FC
KFM
53%
26%
22%
50 56 6 0
12 Nov. 2022
KFM
Khalij Fars FC
1 - 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
EKU
35%
28%
38%
49 54 5 +1
06 Nov. 2022
SAI
Saipa
3 - 1
Khalij Fars FC
KFM
51%
26%
22%
50 56 6 -1
31 Oct. 2022
KFM
Khalij Fars FC
0 - 1
Van Pars Naghshe Jahan
VPN
50%
24%
26%
50 49 1 0
25 Oct. 2022
FAJ
Fajr Sepasi
3 - 0
Khalij Fars FC
KFM
49%
28%
24%
51 60 9 -1

Matches

Shams Azar Qazvin
Shams Azar Qazvin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2022
SAQ
Shams Azar Qazvin
4 - 1
Chooka Talesh
CTF
70%
19%
11%
59 49 10 0
12 Nov. 2022
CHA
Chadormalu
0 - 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
SAQ
32%
27%
41%
58 50 8 +1
06 Nov. 2022
VPN
Van Pars Naghshe Jahan
2 - 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
SAQ
32%
27%
41%
58 50 8 0
31 Oct. 2022
SAQ
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 - 1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
EKU
57%
23%
20%
58 54 4 0
25 Oct. 2022
AKF
Kheybar
3 - 1
Shams Azar Qazvin
SAQ
42%
29%
29%
59 59 0 -1