Herent vs Linden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FEN
1 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HER
4 - 2
STA
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KCE
1 - 0
HER
33%
23%
44%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HER
4 - 1
HOU
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
HER
28%
22%
51%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Linden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 3
EPP
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HUL
3 - 2
LIN
51%
24%
26%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
STA
1 - 2
LIN
61%
21%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 1
FEN
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KAM
3 - 1
LIN
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |