Aresimi vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
70.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aresimi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 6
ARE
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ARE
0 - 2
KGE
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 0
ARE
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ARE
4 - 0
SAS
54%
23%
22%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 0
ARE
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 0
VAR
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
TIK
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 1
VOK
46%
25%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
AKP
2 - 0
TIK
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 2
SHK
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |