Kercem Ajax vs Marsa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kercem Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SLU
0 - 3
KER
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
KER
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
KER
6 - 0
KAL
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +5 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
KER
3 - 0
ATT
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
KER
1 - 5
RAB
18%
22%
61%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
5 - 3
GHA
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
QOR
3 - 2
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
NAX
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAR
39%
25%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
MQA
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |