Kematen vs Mils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
27%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
KUN
3 - 0
KEM
35%
23%
43%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
KEM
1 - 0
UNI
88%
9%
4%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2020 |
FCK
6 - 4
KEM
29%
21%
51%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
KEM
1 - 2
VOL
84%
10%
5%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FCV
0 - 3
KEM
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
SCM
4 - 3
FUG
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
EBB
1 - 0
SCM
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
SCM
6 - 3
FCS
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
WAT
6 - 4
SCM
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 66 | 46 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SCM
0 - 0
STJ
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |