Keith vs Wick Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
43%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
11º
17º
15º
36
6º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 72 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 58 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 55 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 17 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 11 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
KEI
0 - 5
BRO
6%
13%
81%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HUN
7 - 0
KEI
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
KEI
1 - 1
FRA
7%
15%
79%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
STR
0 - 2
KEI
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
INV
1 - 0
KEI
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Wick Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
WIC
4 - 1
LOS
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FOR
2 - 2
WIC
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
WIC
2 - 0
TUR
22%
20%
57%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
WIC
3 - 1
FOR
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +3 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
WIC
1 - 2
CLA
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |