Keith vs Huntly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
49.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
10º
18º
15º
45
8º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
KEI
2 - 0
WIC
58%
19%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NAI
2 - 2
KEI
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KEI
2 - 6
FOR
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CLA
2 - 1
KEI
62%
19%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KEI
0 - 2
LOS
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Huntly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
WIC
0 - 1
HUN
19%
20%
61%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
STR
1 - 4
HUN
12%
17%
72%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HUN
1 - 1
INV
23%
21%
57%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NAI
2 - 0
HUN
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HUN
2 - 1
FOR
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |