Keith vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
59.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
TUR
3 - 3
KEI
24%
20%
56%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
KEI
4 - 0
FOR
91%
7%
3%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
KEI
1 - 3
CLA
75%
14%
11%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
KEI
2 - 2
WIC
25%
21%
55%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
DEV
0 - 2
KEI
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
STR
2 - 1
FOR
7%
13%
80%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 4
INV
31%
23%
45%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BRO
1 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
ROT
40%
23%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
CLA
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |