Keith vs Deveronvale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BRO
6 - 0
KEI
87%
9%
4%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HUN
2 - 1
KEI
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
KEI
0 - 1
BAN
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KEI
4 - 1
LOS
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
TUR
3 - 2
KEI
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Deveronvale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
DEV
2 - 9
BUC
6%
13%
81%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 0
DEV
87%
10%
4%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
WIC
2 - 2
DEV
87%
10%
3%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DEV
0 - 3
GRE
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
DEV
1 - 2
BRO
5%
12%
83%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |