Keith vs Cove Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
76.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
4 - 1
KEI
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KEI
0 - 1
NAI
25%
22%
54%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 3
KEI
8%
14%
78%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
KEI
5 - 2
STR
91%
7%
2%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 2
KEI
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cove Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
COV
2 - 3
BUC
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
COV
2 - 2
FRA
62%
20%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
COV
6 - 0
HUN
88%
9%
3%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DEV
0 - 2
COV
8%
15%
77%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
BRE
4 - 1
COV
45%
23%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |