Keith vs Clachnacuddin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
43.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
11º
17º
15º
59
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 72 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 58 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 55 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 17 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 11 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
KEI
3 - 1
BUC
4%
10%
86%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KEI
3 - 1
DEV
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KEI
0 - 3
CLY
6%
11%
83%
|
25 | 66 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
WIC
0 - 1
KEI
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
KEI
1 - 2
HUN
18%
19%
64%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Clachnacuddin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
CLA
83%
12%
6%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CLA
4 - 2
FOR
49%
21%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LIN
3 - 0
CLA
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CLA
3 - 1
TUR
40%
22%
39%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 4
CLA
29%
22%
50%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |