Highland League round 4

Keith vs Clachnacuddin analysis

Keith Clachnacuddin
24 ELO 22
16.7% Tilt 5.4%
9190º General ELO ranking 6339º
82º Country ELO ranking 67º
ELO win probability
55%
Keith
20.3%
Draw
24.6%
Clachnacuddin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
Keith
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24.6%
Win probability
Clachnacuddin
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Keith
-35%
+29%
Clachnacuddin

Points and table prediction

Keith
Their league position
Clachnacuddin
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
10º
18º
15º
34
11º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Buckie Thistle
87
90
78.5%
Brechin City
86
86
78.5%
Brora Rangers
77
80
100%
Formartine United
71
74
94.5%
Fraserburgh
68
71
94.5%
Banks O' Dee
10º
36
63
100%
Inverurie Loco Works
50
50
100%
Nairn County
43
46
54.5%
Huntly
45
45
59.5%
Rothes
44
44
10º
67.5%
Forres Mechanics
11º
36
36
11º
48.5%
Clachnacuddin
12º
34
35
12º
18.5%
Turriff United
13º
33
34
13º
67.5%
Lossiemouth
15º
26
27
14º
25%
Keith
14º
27
27
15º
58.5%
Wick Academy
16º
25
26
16º
42%
Deveronvale
17º
24
24
17º
80.5%
Strathspey Thistle
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Keith
Clachnacuddin
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Keith
Clachnacuddin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Keith
Keith
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2022
TUR
Turriff United
1 - 1
Keith
KEI
46%
22%
33%
24 22 2 0
30 Jul. 2022
WIC
Wick Academy
1 - 0
Keith
KEI
65%
19%
17%
24 30 6 0
23 Jul. 2022
KEI
Keith
0 - 4
Brora Rangers
BRO
5%
11%
84%
24 52 28 0
28 Jun. 2022
KEI
Keith
0 - 5
Elgin City
ELG
15%
20%
66%
25 48 23 -1
23 Apr. 2022
ROT
Rothes
2 - 0
Keith
KEI
85%
11%
4%
25 49 24 0

Matches

Clachnacuddin
Clachnacuddin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2022
CLA
Clachnacuddin
0 - 4
Brora Rangers
BRO
4%
10%
86%
23 52 29 0
30 Jul. 2022
HUN
Huntly
0 - 1
Clachnacuddin
CLA
68%
17%
15%
22 28 6 +1
23 Jul. 2022
CLA
Clachnacuddin
1 - 3
Inverurie Loco Works
INV
12%
17%
71%
24 44 20 -2
29 Jun. 2022
CLA
Clachnacuddin
0 - 10
Inverness CT
ICT
6%
15%
79%
24 67 43 0
18 Jun. 2022
CLA
Clachnacuddin
0 - 5
Elgin City
ELG
12%
20%
68%
24 48 24 0