Keith vs Buckie Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
84.8%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.8%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.1%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
10º
18º
15º
87
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 78.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 1
NAI
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ROT
3 - 0
KEI
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
5 - 0
KEI
89%
9%
2%
|
25 | 55 | 30 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KEI
6 - 1
STR
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
LOS
2 - 0
KEI
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Buckie Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 0
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 3
BFC
79%
13%
8%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 4
BUC
11%
16%
74%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 2
BAN
74%
16%
11%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CLA
1 - 4
BUC
5%
11%
84%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |